TECHNICAL REPORTS
2026
SA. Silal, SP., Hounsell, RA., Wanjala, S. (2026). Regional Malaria Modelling Translational Fellowship: Inaugural Fellowship Report. Available at: https://science.uct.ac.za/sites/default/files/media/documents/science_uct_ac_za/1870/rmmt-fellowship-2025-inaugural-cohort-report.pdf
The Regional Malaria Modelling Translational (RMMT) Fellowship – First of its kind executive fellowship programme building capacity to strengthen the use of modelling in malaria decision-making. Find out more about the RMMT Fellowship.
2025
- Guidance for using modelling for immunization decision-making. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2025. Licende: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO. Available at: https://iris.who.int/server/api/core/bitstreams/b9815b79-c035-4229-aa0b-3d78b1685fb4/content
- Awine, Hounsell RA, Silal SPS, Norman J, Kishore N, Magoola J, Immaculate A, Besige A, Biroma G, Monyake R, Pallas, SE, Ward, K. (2025). Modelling the health and budget impact of introducing DTPCV booster doses in Uganda. Modelling and Simulation Hub, Africa (MASHA), University of Cape Town, South Africa.
2024
- Awine, T.A., Madito, G.T, Machingauta, M & Silal, S.P. (2024) Evaluation of Mass Drug Administration for the control of Schistosomiasis in SA.
2022
Silal, S. Bardsley, C, Menon, R. Abullahi, L and White, L (2022) Epidemiological modelling for public health decision-making in sub-Saharan Africa: A strategic plan for capacity strengthening. London: Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office. Available at: https://www.opml.co.uk/files/Projects/a4964-epidem-modelling-capacity-strengthening.pdf?noredirect=1
MAC on COVID-19, Technical Working Group: Balfour T., Abdool Karim S., Davies M., Gray A., Jordan P., Mokgatle M., Morewane R., Moshabela M., Moultrie H., Nel J., Nyembezi A., Pillay Y., Pulliam J.R.C., Rees H. & Silal S.P. Mitigating COVID-19 In South Africa: Going Forward Position Paper (8 February 2022). National Department of Health. Available at: https://sacoronavirus.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Mitigating-COVID-19-Going-Forward-Position-Paper_8Feb2022_Final2.pdf
South African Ministerial Advisory Committee for COVID-19. Range of Advisories available at: https://sacoronavirus.co.za/category/mac-advisories/
2021
Silal S.P., Pulliam J., Meyer-Rath G., Jamieson Lise., Moultrie H. (2021) COVID-19 modelling update: Considerations for a potential fourth wave (November 2021). National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Published on 17 November 2021. Available at: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/SACMC-Fourth-wave-report-17112021-final.pdf
Silal S.P., Pulliam J., Meyer-Rath G., Jamieson Lise., Moultrie H. (2021) COVID-19 modelling update: Considerations for the third wave, including the impact of the delta variant of concern (July 2021). National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Published on 14 July 2021 at: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/SACMC-Third-wave-report-inlcuding-Delta-variant.pdf
Silal S.P., Pulliam J., Meyer-Rath G., Jamieson Lise., Moultrie H. (2021) COVID-19 modelling update: Considerations for a potential third wave. National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Published on 29 April 2021. PDF at not avaialble: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/SACMC-Third-wave-report-290421.pdf
Silal S., Moses M., Franco C., Celhay O., Fox K., Love E. (2021). An investment case to accelerate malaria elimination in the Guyana Shield. San Francisco: The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco. Avaialble at: www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org
2020
Silal S.P., Pulliam J., Meyer-Rath G., Nichols, B., Jamieson Lise., Moultrie H. (2020) Estimating cases for COVID-19 in South Africa: Assessment of alternate scenarios. National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Published on 5 September 2020 at: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/SACovidModellingReport_LongTermProjections_050920_final.pdf
Silal SP, Letchford L, Cassy A, Jasper P, Zaman R & White LJ. (2020) Modelling of COVID-19 Scenarios in Mozambique.
Silal S.P., Pulliam J., Meyer-Rath G., Nichols, B., Jamieson Lise., Moultrie H. (2020) Estimating cases for COVID-19 in South Africa: Short Term projections: June 2020. National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Published on 12 June 2020 at: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/SACovidModellingReport_ProvincialLongTermProjections_Final.pdf
Silal S.P., Pulliam J., Meyer-Rath G., Nichols, B., Jamieson Lise., Moultrie H. (2020) Estimating cases for COVID-19 in South Africa: Long term Provincial projections. National Institute for Communicable Diseases. Published on 19 May 2020 at: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/SACovidModellingReport_ProvincialLongTermProjections_Final.pdf
Nketiah-Amponsah, E., Silal, S.P., Awine, T; (2020) Cost-Benefit Analyis of selected Malaria Interventions in Ghana. Ghana Priorities, Copenhagen Consensus Center, License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0. Available at: https://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/sites/default/files/gp_malaria_-_final.pdf
Fox, K., Silal, S.P., Dantzer, E. (2020) A landscape analysis to assess the technical, operational and financial feasibility of malaria elimination in Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste and Vanuatu. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco.
2019
Shretta, R. and Silal, S.P. (2019) Estimating the Risk of Declining Funding for Malaria in Ghana:The case for continued investment in the malaria response in Ghana. Private Sector Malaria Project of the Johns Hopkins University Center for Communication Programs under a sub-contract to the International Public Health Advisors.
2018
Fox K., Kollipara A., Njau J., and Silal, S.P. (2018). Investing in Malaria Elimination in South Africa. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco.
2017
- Shretta, R., Silal, S., Celhay, O., Mercado, C., Kyaw, S.S., Avancena, A.L.V., Fox, K., Zelman, B. Baral, R., White, L., Maude, R. (2017). Investing in Malaria Elimination in the Asia Pacific Region. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco. Available at: http://www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/sites/www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/files/content/page/an-investment-case-for-eliminating-malaria-in-asia-pacific_web-ready-report.pdf
Shretta, R., Silal, S., Celhay, O., Mercado, C.,Kyaw, S.S., Avan- cena, A.L.V., Fox, K., Zelman, B., Baral, R., Maude, R., White, L. (2017) Investing in Malaria Elimination in the Greater Mekong Subregion. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco. Available at: http://www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/sites/www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/files/content/page/an-investment-case-for-eliminating-malaria-in-gms_final-report.pdf
Zelman, B., Baral, R., Soeharno, N., Sucahya, P., Nadjib, M., Sariwati, E., Celhay, O., Mercado, C., Kyaw, S.S., Silal, S., Maude, R., White, L., Shretta, R (2017) An investment case for eliminating malaria in Indonesia. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco. Available at:http://www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/sites/www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/files/content/page/an-investment-case-for-eliminating-malaria-in-indonesia_web-ready2-report.pdf
Avanceña, A.L.V., Parr, W.,, Makita, L., Escobar, K., Baral, R., Celhay, O., Mercado, C., Kyaw, S.S., Silal, S., Maude, R., White, L., Shretta, R. (2017) An investment case for eliminating malaria in Papua New Guinea. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco. Available at:http://www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/sites/www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/files/content/page/an-investment-case-for-malaria-elimination-in-png_web-ready-report.pdf
Fox, K., Baral, R., Khan, W., Ching, S.P., Celhay, O., Mercado C., Kyaw, S.S., Silal, S., White, L., Maude, R., Shretta, R. (2017) An investment case for eliminating malaria in Bangladesh. The Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco. Available at: http://www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/sites/www.shrinkingthemalariamap.org/files/content/page/an-investment-case-for-eliminating-malaria-in-bangladesh.pdf